Kei Nishikori vs Luca Nardi Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

When delving into performance on second serves, Kei Nishikori has demonstrated slightly superior results over the last six months, claiming 45.84% of points, compared to Nardi's 44.53%. This aspect of their game is critical, as successful second serve performance often correlates strongly with overall match predictions.

Looking at return games, Nishikori continues to hold a slight edge. He has successfully won 48.68% of points on his opponents' second serves, whereas Nardi has taken 43.26%. The stats for their first serve returns display a similar disparity, with Nishikori at 27% and Nardi at 24.55%. This data is instrumental in determining favorites in head-to-head matchups.

Regarding their ability to manage pressure during matches, both players display comparable performance. Nishikori has saved 52.17% of breakpoints, while Nardi is not far behind at 51.96%. Such figures are crucial for those considering in-game betting.

In the past year, a look at their match-winning percentages reveals that Nishikori holds a slight advantage, having won 61.36% of matches (27 wins, 17 losses), while Nardi has achieved a 55.22% win rate (37 wins, 30 losses). This provides an overarching view for head-to-head predictions.

Nishikori clearly excels on indoor hard courts, with an impressive career win percentage of 71% (110 wins, 45 losses). Conversely, his performance on grass is his weakest, standing at 63% (48 wins, 28 losses). In comparison, Nardi's strongest performances are on hard courts, with a 61% win percentage (57 wins, 37 losses), but his results on grass are notably weaker, with a mere 29% win rate (2 wins, 5 losses).

Both players have predominantly competed on the Challengers/ITF tournament circuit > $10K in the last year. Nishikori boasts a winning record of 85.71% (12 wins, 2 losses), whereas Nardi has won 74.19% (23 wins, 8 losses). Such context is vital when predicting outcomes relative to the event level they've participated in.

In their sole head-to-head encounter, Nishikori emerged victorious against Nardi during the Helsinki Challenger Finals in 2024, with Nishikori taking two out of three sets. Interestingly, in matches that reached a deciding set over the last 12 months, Nishikori has won 74%, while Nardi has secured 55% of such cases. This statistic is pivotal should the upcoming match be closely contested.

No tiebreaks have been played between them in the past, making extreme pressure scenario predictions less certain. However, keep in mind Nishikori has faced higher-ranked opposition on average (rank 93.66) compared to Nardi (rank 167.63) in the past year, offering some perspective on the quality of competitors they've faced.

Regarding break point conversion during recent matches, Nishikori has been more effective, converting 32.1% of opportunities into breaks, slightly better than Nardi's 29.35% figure. This stat serves as an insightful guide for live betting decisions when either player encounters break point situations.

Given the cumulative analysis of these stats, Nishikori appears poised to continue his dominance in the upcoming match against Nardi, leveraging his slightly stronger second serve performance, return game efficiency, and past head-to-head success.